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Investing - Theory, News & General • With interest rates this high are you increasing your equity return expectations?

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Decreasing due to Ben Graham's formula comparing ST Treasury Yield to S&P500 Earnings yield.

About 35 / 65 % stock / bond ratio given current yields.

Bonds more attractive at present time.

You can also see Buffett building cash levels, student of Graham.
What is Graham's formula?

I mean, I get the conceptual gist of what you're implying, but curious as to the actual formula.
Stock Allocation = Shiller PE Earnings Yield / ( Shiller PE Earnings Yield + ST Treasury Yield)
= 2.95 / (2.95 + 5.5) = 35%

you could also use S&P 500 Earning Yield
I used 1 month T Bill

Statistics: Posted by Fat-Tailed Contagion — Mon May 06, 2024 9:28 pm — Replies 107 — Views 14656



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