I've successfully managed thru three different ~40% declines in the stock market (~2001, 2009 and 2020) but I gotta say the ~10% decline in TBM Index in 2022 affected me more.......mentally. Rightly or wrongly, I can't tolerate losses in my fixed income side of my portfolio.And if interest rates drop and MM’s are back to earning less than 0.5%?…so my plan is to move most of my fixed income to money markets about two years prior to retirement (which is estimated to be 2 years from now).
And 10% decline in TBM is worse than 50% drop in TSM?
I say that knowing full well that we should have been in a 10-20 year Great Depression after the 2009 crash if the Fed didn't bail us out; however, I'm willing to take that risk again with the equity side of my porfolio.
After reading the mega MYGA thread, I've become a huge fan of fixing ~5.0% interest rates on 3-year MYGA's ----- since I will retire ~5-7 years before my wife, I'm leaning on moving ~90% of my 401k to a stable value fund a couple years prior to retirement (~25% of my total portfolio) and then start doing 3, 4 and 5 year MYGA's-----and start buying individual TIPS expiring in ~2040-2048 (after the TIP black hole expires).
It's still very much prelim, but my goal is have ~70% of retirement expenses in "guaranteed" investments and take portfolio risk in my equities to cover unexpected high inflation. Once I'm 5 years or so into retirement, keep the MYGA durations in 3 year increments so I'm not overly exposed to the interest rates at the time I enter the MYGA (i.e. I don't want to fix all my fixed income in 5-10 year MYGA's prior to a big run-up in interest rates/inflation) -----but I admittedly need to think about how I exactly I do this in the real world.
Statistics: Posted by Flashes1 — Sun Jul 28, 2024 9:15 am — Replies 7 — Views 339